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United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) is the world’s largest delivery company, serving businesses and individuals in more than 200 countries. Its elaborate network of logistics and delivery services make it a force in both domestic and international shipping, but recent strategy changes have caused the stock to wobble, and questions about lower revenue and increased competition and costs have investors wondering what lies ahead.
Below, we’ll draw on recent trends, expert analysis, and algorithmic projections to survey UPS stock price predictions for 2026, 2026, and 2030.
Current UPS Stock Overview
- Market cap: $70.24 billion
- Trailing P/E Ratio: 12.33
- Forward P/E Ratio: 11.55
- 1-Year Return: -38%
- 2025 Year to Date: -33% Stock performance remains volatile as UPS makes some of the most significant strategic changes in its 118 year history.
As of October 2025, UPS trades near $83 per share, with shares hitting some of their lowest prices in five years. A trailing P/E ratio of 12.33 is below UPS’s long-term average in the low-to-mid 20s, which indicates that the stock may be undervalued.
UPS’s recent decision to steer away from volume contracts, such as last-mile deliveries for Amazon, to focus on higher-margin contracts serving more diversified commercial markets such as healthcare logistics and B2B shipments, has some investors and analysts scratching their heads, but the company believes it is a shift that will result in bigger long-term gains.
Increased efficiency is also a plan as UPS aims to improve productivity. Its existing sorting and delivery system is almost unparalleled, but the company wants to do better by upgrading service through its “Network of the Future” delivery system. By automating 400 facilities over the next few years, it hopes to create a more efficient delivery system and lower costs.
Wall Street sentiment toward UPS is broadly mixed as many analysts see the stock as undervalued and a good time to buy, but uncertainty with current international trade has generated concern. According to Benzinga, 24 analysts cover the stock, with a consensus price target of $121.87, ranging from a high of $180 (Redburn Atlantic) to a low of $75 (Morgan Stanley). The three most recent ratings from BofA Securities, Citigroup, and Barclays average $95, with an implied 14.64% upside from current levels.
Quick Snapshot Table of Predictions
|
Year |
Bearish Prediction |
Average Prediction |
Bullish Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2025 |
$86.08 |
$23.84 |
$103.57 |
|
2026 |
$76.71 |
$90.54 |
$108.59 |
|
2027 |
$65.58 |
$82.13 |
$94.02 |
|
2028 |
$59.32 |
$66.88 |
$76.91 |
|
2029 |
$39.84 |
$48.06 |
$65.12 |
|
2030 |
$35.92 |
$42.34 |
$50.81 |
The forecast range in this table is based on algorithmic projections provided by CoinCodex. These models use historical price trends, volatility patterns, and moving averages to estimate future stock prices over multiple time horizons.
Bull & Bear Case
Before making a decision on UPS stock, it’s crucial to weigh the company’s performance improvements and higher demand against recent strategic decisions and trade pressures.
Bull Case
- UPS’s domestic performance has improved, which accounts for 65% of total revenue.
- Increased demand for package delivery services, on both domestic and international fronts, bodes well for the world’s largest delivery company.
- UPS is already showing improvement and an increased market share in two key sectors for future growth: small- and medium-sized businesses and healthcare logistics.
- Most analysts see UPS as a Hold and undervalued as the company transitions toward a more profitable, higher-margin business model.
Bear Case
- The shift away from Amazon has raised concerns with an anticipated revenue loss of about 3% associated with the change that could hurt margin improvements.
- Higher union wage demands and changes to pension regulations could lead to higher labor costs.
- Uncertainty over the current state of international trade looms heavy over UPS, with associated costs and regulations in flux.
UPS Stock Price Prediction for 2025
CoinCodex forecasts stability for UPS as it transitions toward higher-margin accounts. The company continues to face headwinds from increased competition in the logistics sector, regulatory challenges, and trade uncertainty, but its focus on efficiency and account mix could provide a path to steadier growth.
UPS Stock Price Prediction for 2026
CoinCodex projects UPS maintaining steady performance as it leans into healthcare logistics and small to medium-sized business deliveries. These investments are designed to strengthen margins and support long-term growth. While some volatility is likely during the transition, UPS remains positioned as a well-managed company with a sustainable strategy and continued profitability.
UPS Stock Price Prediction for 2030
CoinCodex’s long-term forecast for UPS points to steady growth supported by the expansion of global e-commerce and rising demand for efficient supply chains. The company’s strong market position remains a key advantage. At the same time, risks include intensifying competition from FedEx and Amazon, higher labor costs tied to union agreements, and uncertainty surrounding global shipping and tariffs.
Investment Considerations
While short-term performance will leave growth investors unimpressed, the potential for long-term development may make UPS stock attractive for those with a longer time horizon.
Upcoming Q3 results should give insight into UPS’s transition status, along with measurables for what to expect for growth and development going into 2026 and 2030. Short-term investors should keep an eye on the ever-changing tariff front and regulations affecting international trade.
Frequently Asked Questions
A
Because UPS changed its business plan and there are short-term uncertainties relating to trade, investors should be prepared to weather some volatility for the next couple of years. However, long-term projections appear positive, with analysts trusting management and seeing the company positioned to benefit from anticipated industry growth.
A
Prices for UPS stock are forecast between $33 and $220 in 2030. Competition is a concern, but the company’s strategic business plan and global demand for efficient delivery, particularly in B2B and e-commerce sectors should support growth, with a potential share price increase of 158% on the high end from its current level.
A
UPS pays a quarterly dividend of $1.64 per share with a 7.92% annual yield, which is high, causing some investors to question whether the company’s earnings track is strong enough to avoid a cut.
* Plus500 is a Benzinga Partner and the promotion of this offer was sponsored by the Partner. This does not impact the content at all.
