Multi-timeframe SUI Analysis
D1 — primary trend
EMAs: Price at 2.46 is below the 20-day (2.75), 50-day (3.08), and 200-day (3.33) EMAs, confirming a broader downtrend. This says buyers haven’t reclaimed control and rallies could face resistance at each average.
RSI: The 14-day RSI at 36.39 sits below 50, signaling bearish bias and weak demand. Meanwhile, it isn’t oversold, so pressure could persist without a strong bounce.
MACD: Line -0.25 is under signal -0.23 with a -0.02 histogram; bearish momentum is present but not accelerating. If the histogram keeps shrinking, momentum might be stabilizing.
Bollinger: Bands center at 2.82 with the lower at 1.96 and upper at 3.68; price trades in the lower half, hinting at subdued appetite. A push toward the middle band (2.82) would suggest mean reversion; failure keeps risk skewed lower.
ATR: ATR14 at 0.23 USDT indicates moderate daily volatility; risk sizing should respect swings of roughly 0.23. Pivot: PP 2.45, R1 2.50, S1 2.41 — holding above PP could invite a test of 2.50; losing PP exposes 2.41.
Daily takeaway: the tone remains bearish, with sellers in control unless price reclaims 2.50 then 2.75.
H1 — intraday view
EMAs: Price 2.46 is above EMA20 (2.45), near EMA50 (2.46), but below EMA200 (2.51). Intraday, that’s a tentative stabilization under a bigger cap at 2.51.
RSI: At 52.78, momentum turns slightly positive — a modest bid returning. MACD: Line 0.01 over signal 0 with a flat histogram → momentum is positive but fragile.
Bollinger: Mid 2.45, upper 2.51, lower 2.40; price near the middle suggests a balanced tape into 2.50/2.51 resistance. ATR at 0.03 USDT shows compressed intraday ranges.
H1 takeaway: neutral to slightly constructive, but 2.50–2.51 is a ceiling until proven otherwise.
M15 — micro structure
EMAs: Price 2.46 sits below EMA20 (2.47), near EMA50 (2.46), and above EMA200 (2.45) — a coiling setup. RSI 46.75 leans soft, while MACD near flat signals lack of impulse.
Bollinger: Mid 2.47, upper 2.49, lower 2.45; price compresses inside a tight band. ATR 0.01 USDT underscores micro-range conditions.
M15 takeaway: neutral with slight downside tilt unless 2.47–2.49 breaks cleanly.
Cross-timeframe synthesis: D1 is bearish, H1 and M15 are neutral to slightly heavy — overall a cautious SUI Analysis with bounce attempts facing overhead resistance.
Trading scenarios — SUI Analysis
Bullish
Trigger: A firm H1 close above 2.50 (R1) could invite buyers. Target: 2.75 (EMA20 D1), then 2.82 (Bollinger mid D1). Invalidation: Back below 2.45 (PP) would weaken the setup. Risk: Stops 0.5–1.0× ATR14 D1 (0.12–0.23 USDT) to account for volatility.
Bearish (Main)
Trigger: Rejection at 2.50 or a D1/H4 close below 2.45 (PP). Target: 2.41 (S1) first, then 1.96 (lower Bollinger D1) if pressure builds. Invalidation: Acceptance above 2.50 shifts risk toward 2.75. Risk: Consider 0.5–1.0× ATR14 D1 (0.12–0.23 USDT) for downside continuation.
Neutral
Trigger: Sideways action between 2.45 and 2.50. Target: Mean reversion toward 2.47 (M15 mid) while range holds. Invalidation: Break and hold beyond 2.50 or below 2.45. Risk: Tight management given low H1 ATR (0.03 USDT) and quick mean-reversion.
Scenario takeaway: the path of least resistance remains down on D1, but short-term bounces can occur.
Market context for SUI Analysis
Total crypto mcap: 3,832,452,880,206.56 USD, up 1.43% in 24h. BTC dominance: 57.82%. Fear & Greed: 30 (Fear). High BTC dominance and Fear typically weigh on altcoin momentum and liquidity.
Context takeaway: the broader backdrop is defensive, which can cap aggressive upside attempts in SUI.
Ecosystem — SUI Analysis
DeFi/DEX snapshot: Cetus CLMM fees change 1d -69.13%, 7d -80.82%, 30d -78.32; Momentum +11.49% (1d), -15.30% (7d), +148.68% (30d); Bluefin Spot 0.00% (1d), -9.33% (7d), -11.45% (30d); DeepBook V3 -10.24% (1d), -62.19% (7d), -41.01% (30d); Kriya CLMM -43.38% (1d), -48.52% (7d), -66.00% (30d). These mixed moves reflect uneven activity across the ecosystem.
Ecosystem takeaway: selective participation persists, aligning with a cautious market tone.
